Fickle Finger of Football Award: Tuskegee_Brown

This entry was posted by on Tuesday, 11 January, 2022 at

You bet your sweet bippy! We are pleased to announce the 2021 Baller Prognosticator of the Year. Although this strange and stressful season is not yet over, we know that playoff results cannot change the outcome of our competition, so we can announce the winner now.

First, here is the chart of “wins”, actual versus predictions. A half-win is awarded for the tie:

Actual copanut MWalsh26 EstimatedProphet Tuskegee_Brown
Steelers 9.5 12 10 9 11
Ravens 8 10 13 14 12
Browns 8 10 11 11 10
Bengals 10 5 4 4 6

And here is the “delta” chart which shows the difference between actual and predictions. Lower values are better:

copanut MWalsh26 EstimatedProphet Tuskegee_Brown
2.5 0.5 0.5 1.5
2 5 6 4
2 3 3 2
5 6 6 4
Totals:
11.5 14.5 15.5 11.5

Both MWalsh26 and EstimatedProphet came closest to guessing the Steelers result, missing only by a half game. (If we were not counting the tie as a half win, EstimatedProphet would be the winner on this question). So, participation trophies go to Walsh and EP, but they went on to whiff badly regarding the rest of the division.

And let’s face it – we all whiffed on the Bengals. We knew that they had the best young QB in the division but we just didn’t trust the Bengals organization to be able to get the job done, and we were wrong. Sure, the Bengals had the easiest schedule, but they also beat the tar out of the Steelers twice, and won a number of other impressive games, so we give credit where it is due.

In the end, copanut and Tuskegee_Brown tied with the best overall result of 11.5. Both of them predicted the Steelers will win a single playoff game before being bounced from the tourney,  so copanut and TB would remain tied regardless of playoff outcome.

We need to go to tie breakers to determine the winner. Because TB predicted the Steelers would get into the playoffs as a wild card team, whereas copanut predicted they would be division winners, the tie breaker goes to TB. As icing on the cake, TB had a closer guess in Steeler wins.

All hail the new champion, Tuskegee_Brown!


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